Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 87.909405 99.640363 112.932916 129.231170 148.842337 171.893268 201.357379
2025-04-20 73.314497 88.851356 108.168811 134.436020 170.007259 217.721464 288.799160
2025-04-27 66.606724 84.552837 108.381205 143.361044 195.292131 272.957548 405.412514
2025-05-04 58.962670 77.282193 102.752966 142.275640 205.149629 307.585105 503.183133
2025-05-11 53.839296 72.510633 99.519588 143.529843 218.085142 349.791325 631.286004
2025-05-18 48.989837 67.408900 94.907821 141.537585 224.795247 382.554903 756.209838
2025-05-25 45.765377 64.275113 92.764020 143.001586 237.578779 430.348829 941.255545
2025-06-01 42.626555 60.898095 89.750080 142.361738 246.108512 471.980313 1138.200147
2025-06-08 39.665972 57.491109 86.257738 140.252374 251.160566 507.482002 1344.450565
2025-06-15 38.247756 56.399175 86.470804 144.946584 271.339637 586.811962 1770.016745
2025-06-22 35.240611 52.439441 81.332340 138.594508 265.866443 597.587425 1948.132398
2025-06-29 33.355306 50.201575 79.001739 137.475017 272.195995 643.953164 2338.822393
2025-07-06 31.422547 47.894995 76.613212 136.537679 280.447908 705.385362 2939.215226
2025-07-13 30.489562 47.253444 77.248673 142.185834 307.293842 844.343489 4366.175382
2025-07-20 30.083034 47.481977 79.519948 151.815595 348.189363 1066.621896 7443.827602
2025-07-27 28.514887 45.477851 77.232458 150.643694 358.081711 1174.781379 10140.723020
2025-08-03 27.357201 44.127941 76.093760 151.997874 376.247123 1338.199549 15271.021702
2025-08-10 25.968736 42.241473 73.677905 149.846954 382.705345 1452.067615 21290.578502
2025-08-17 25.040768 41.153190 72.799505 151.427470 402.439775 1663.073024 35579.312612
2025-08-24 23.992323 39.758273 71.141921 150.736646 414.169763 1843.680396 57957.440227
2025-08-31 22.898226 38.202652 69.003909 148.459811 419.513836 1992.460425 92669.273910
2025-09-07 22.456259 37.890191 69.528948 153.527922 455.446284 2432.490839 281159.879398
2025-09-14 21.161298 35.808445 65.976651 146.670947 440.724533 2430.684363 385285.246889